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Press Kogyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

44.43

decreased by 2.09

1 Week

47.21

increased by 0.69

1 Month

42.66

decreased by 3.86

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Press Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 165 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6160
6.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1466
22.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8492
126.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0036
3.60***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

165 days