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Press Kogyo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

38.33

increased by 1.16

1 Week

39.88

increased by 2.71

1 Month

36.81

decreased by 0.36

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Press Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 178% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8776
13.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0671
19.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8666
536.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1192
21.14***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days