V-Lab
Press Kogyo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
38.33
increased by 1.16
1 Week
39.88
increased by 2.71
1 Month
36.81
decreased by 0.36
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 178% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8776 | 13.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0671 | 19.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8666 | 536.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1192 | 21.14*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
101 days
Other Press Kogyo Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities