V-Lab
Press Kogyo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
37.76
decreased by 2.72
1 Week
41.94
increased by 1.46
1 Month
38.75
decreased by 1.73
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 103 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 177% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8685 | 13.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0672 | 19.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8665 | 536.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1191 | 21.13*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
103 days
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