V-Lab
Futaba Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
45.65
increased by 0.09
1 Week
49.55
increased by 3.99
1 Month
48.84
increased by 3.28
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 4, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 56 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0910 | 3.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1418 | 6.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8459 | 38.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0559 | -4.81*** |
| γ2 | 0.0989 | 6.63*** |
| γ3 | -0.0715 | -6.33*** |
| γ4 | 0.0510 | 2.54** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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