V-Lab
Futaba Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
44.38
increased by 2.14
1 Week
47.53
increased by 5.29
1 Month
53.13
increased by 10.89
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 4, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 56 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0860 | 3.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1417 | 6.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8460 | 38.33*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0562 | -4.82*** |
| γ2 | 0.0995 | 6.65*** |
| γ3 | -0.0722 | -6.36*** |
| γ4 | 0.0520 | 2.58*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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