V-Lab
Futaba Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
39.92
1 Week
39.79
1 Month
51.00
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 4, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1568 | 0.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6939 | 16.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1568 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.2127 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6441 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3559 | 0.16 |
Persistence:
0.772
Half-life:
3 days
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