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Tanaka Seimitsu Kogyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

6,089.71

decreased by 425.12

1 Week

7,045.00

increased by 530.17

1 Month

4,957.62

decreased by 1,557.21

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tanaka Seimitsu Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 126 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0986
4.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0992
11.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8953
107.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0309
-3.79***
γ20.0559
4.00***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

126 days