V-Lab
Tanaka Seimitsu Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
5,697.06
1 Week
6,643.01
1 Month
4,496.66
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 64 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 64 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1006 | 6.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9010 | 474.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0247 | -0.79 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9997 | 1,394.31*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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