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V-Lab

Global Style Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026

1 Day

10,365.18

increased by 8,129.87

1 Week

3,872.06

increased by 1,636.75

1 Month

2,053.53

decreased by 181.78

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Global Style Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 24, 2021 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7510
5.23***
αARCH0.1841
4.36***
βGARCH0.7691
18.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0386
-0.84

0.953

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7510
5.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1841
4.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7691
18.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0386
-0.84

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days