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Global Style Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026

1 Day

12,893.09

increased by 10,551.61

1 Week

4,464.54

increased by 2,123.06

1 Month

2,285.98

decreased by 55.50

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Global Style Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 24, 2021 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.2393
4.67***
βGARCH0.6981
16.14***
γleverage-0.2393
-4.83***
λ₁tau intercept9.2008
0.46
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9855
82.06***

0.818

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2393
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6981
16.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2393
-4.83***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.2008
0.46
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9855
82.06***

Persistence:

0.818

Half-life:

3 days