V-Lab
Global Style Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
12,893.09
1 Week
4,464.54
1 Month
2,285.98
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 24, 2021 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.2393 | 4.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6981 | 16.14*** |
| γleverage | -0.2393 | -4.83*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 9.2008 | 0.46 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9855 | 82.06*** |
0.818
Persistence3d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2393 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6981 | 16.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2393 | -4.83*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.2008 | 0.46 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9855 | 82.06*** |
Persistence:
0.818
Half-life:
3 days
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