V-Lab
Meinan M&A Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
6,152.61
increased by 4,466.63
1 Week
2,783.28
increased by 1,097.30
1 Month
3,709.40
increased by 2,023.42
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1474 trading days (~5.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9251 | 5.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1559 | 7.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8437 | 38.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.3297 | -3.73*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1474 days
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