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Meinan M&A Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

7,489.66

increased by 5,387.01

1 Week

2,771.28

increased by 668.63

1 Month

1,640.32

decreased by 462.33

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 07:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Meinan M&A Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1231 trading days (~4.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1231 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9165
5.58***
αARCH0.1583
7.59***
βGARCH0.8411
40.25***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.3196
-3.85***

0.999

Persistence

1231d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9165
5.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1583
7.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8411
40.25***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.3196
-3.85***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1231 days