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Meinan M&A Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

4,317.36

increased by 2,186.72

1 Week

2,721.78

increased by 591.14

1 Month

3,528.27

increased by 1,397.63

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Meinan M&A Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2019 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 59% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.40**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
14.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8970
311.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0471
4.78***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days