Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Alue Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

6,135.33

decreased by 1,331.49

1 Week

6,801.07

decreased by 665.75

1 Month

5,490.64

decreased by 1,976.18

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Alue Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2018 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9185
5.49***
αARCH0.1859
7.68***
βGARCH0.8014
35.58***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0467
-1.58

0.987

Persistence

54d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9185
5.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1859
7.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8014
35.58***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0467
-1.58

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days