V-Lab
Alue Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
2,846.28
1 Week
3,641.76
1 Month
5,237.32
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2011 | 0.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8019 | 14.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2011 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9870 | 24.93*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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