V-Lab
Crg Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
5,289.00
decreased by 1,175.82
1 Week
6,467.05
increased by 2.23
1 Month
7,055.11
increased by 590.29
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1868 trading days (~7.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8653 | 3.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2572 | 8.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7424 | 25.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -10.4525 | -1.99** |
| γ2 | 18.8402 | 1.92* |
| γ3 | -13.1536 | -1.97** |
| γ4 | 6.3019 | 2.51** |
| γ5 | -2.2246 | -1.99** |
| γ6 | 1.0474 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1868 days
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