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Crg Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

5,289.00

decreased by 1,175.82

1 Week

6,467.05

increased by 2.23

1 Month

7,055.11

increased by 590.29

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Crg Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1868 trading days (~7.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8653
3.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2572
8.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7424
25.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-10.4525
-1.99**
γ218.8402
1.92*
γ3-13.1536
-1.97**
γ46.3019
2.51**
γ5-2.2246
-1.99**
γ61.0474
0.70

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1868 days