V-Lab
Crg Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
5,018.80
1 Week
5,211.79
1 Month
5,532.38
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2018 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.2091 | 9.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7896 | 48.37*** |
| γleverage | -0.0361 | -1.72* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 6,635.9905 |
0.981
Persistence35d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2091 | 9.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7896 | 48.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0361 | -1.72* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6,635.9905 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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