V-Lab
Crg Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
4,245.47
decreased by 1,001.14
1 Week
5,284.09
increased by 37.48
1 Month
5,753.93
increased by 507.32
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2152 | 39.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7842 | 187.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0382 | -6.98*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6,668.9720 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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