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V-Lab

Tomita Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

7,005.46

decreased by 888.15

1 Week

7,540.11

decreased by 353.50

1 Month

11,642.65

increased by 3,749.04

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tomita Electric Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7459
3.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1355
10.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8519
55.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.2892
1.13
γ2-0.8726
-2.26**
γ31.1663
4.68***
γ4-1.1741
-5.73***
γ50.8392
3.80***
γ60.0521
0.24
γ7-1.0037
-4.36***
γ81.5831
6.38***
γ9-1.4593
-3.72***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days