V-Lab
Tomita Electric Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
7,005.46
decreased by 888.15
1 Week
7,540.11
decreased by 353.50
1 Month
11,642.65
increased by 3,749.04
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 54 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7459 | 3.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1355 | 10.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8519 | 55.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.2892 | 1.13 |
| γ2 | -0.8726 | -2.26** |
| γ3 | 1.1663 | 4.68*** |
| γ4 | -1.1741 | -5.73*** |
| γ5 | 0.8392 | 3.80*** |
| γ6 | 0.0521 | 0.24 |
| γ7 | -1.0037 | -4.36*** |
| γ8 | 1.5831 | 6.38*** |
| γ9 | -1.4593 | -3.72*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
Other Tomita Electric Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities