V-Lab
Tomita Electric Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
4,643.68
1 Week
5,016.92
1 Month
7,124.53
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 12:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 116 | |
| αARCH | 0.1266 | 10.45*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8832 | 81.36*** |
| γleverage | -0.0447 | -5.04*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.3008 | 0.15 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9991 | 364.23*** |
0.987
Persistence55d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1266 | 10.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8832 | 81.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0447 | -5.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3008 | 0.15 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9991 | 364.23*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
55 days
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