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V-Lab

Fenwal Controls Japan Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

7,486.99

decreased by 912.83

1 Week

5,414.96

decreased by 2,984.86

1 Month

2,930.87

decreased by 5,468.95

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fenwal Controls Japan Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 13, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 119 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9043
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1377
11.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8565
69.28***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.3142
1.65*
γ2-1.9634
-3.45***
γ33.6302
3.63***
γ4-2.1362
-2.19**
γ5-0.7912
-0.98
γ61.4633
2.94***
γ7-0.4502
-1.86*
γ8-0.2689
-1.19
γ90.3251
1.45
γ10-0.1341
-0.45

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

119 days