Fenwal Controls Japan Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
8,821.42
1 Week
6,142.99
1 Month
2,799.75
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 13, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1921 | 0.28 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6702 | 21.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1732 | -0.12 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.4317 | 0.34 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1389 | 0.33 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8611 | 10.38*** |
Persistence:
0.776
Half-life:
3 days
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