V-Lab
Hosiden Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
18.10
decreased by 1.67
1 Week
20.68
increased by 0.91
1 Month
22.41
increased by 2.64
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3361 | 4.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1327 | 17.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8610 | 104.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0018 | 2.07** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
111 days
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