V-Lab
Hosiden Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
19.66
decreased by 1.40
1 Week
22.20
increased by 1.14
1 Month
23.25
increased by 2.19
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 127 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 106% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3920 | 13.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0792 | 17.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8733 | 575.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0842 | 9.50*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
127 days
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