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Hy Electronic (Cayman) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3,990.86

decreased by 878.39

1 Week

5,055.14

increased by 185.89

1 Month

5,732.16

increased by 862.91

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hy Electronic (Cayman) Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2104
6.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2117
10.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7802
42.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0285
-1.38

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

85 days