V-Lab
Hy Electronic (Cayman) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3,990.86
decreased by 878.39
1 Week
5,055.14
increased by 185.89
1 Month
5,732.16
increased by 862.91
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 2, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2104 | 6.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2117 | 10.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7802 | 42.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0285 | -1.38 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
85 days
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