V-Lab
Hy Electronic (Cayman) Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3,907.08
1 Week
4,984.25
1 Month
5,610.35
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 2, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2156 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7657 | 83.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2156 | -0.28 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.74 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0367 | 0.65 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9587 | 57.86*** |
Persistence:
0.873
Half-life:
5 days
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