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V-Lab

Nagaoka International Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

6,238.04

decreased by 2,380.64

1 Week

3,968.34

decreased by 4,650.34

1 Month

3,142.33

decreased by 5,476.35

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nagaoka International Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8122
3.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2578
11.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6771
30.09***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-3.7977
-8.02***
γ26.7542
8.65***
γ3-5.0418
-8.62***
γ43.7555
9.36***
γ5-2.2338
-6.20***
γ60.0385
0.11
γ71.2984
3.70***
γ8-1.3392
-2.13**

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days