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V-Lab

Nagaoka International Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

7,034.00

decreased by 1,972.68

1 Week

4,415.99

decreased by 4,590.69

1 Month

3,633.36

decreased by 5,373.32

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nagaoka International Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2613
4.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7448
235.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2613
-2.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.3629
40.23***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0068
7.59***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9709
141.55***

Persistence:

0.875

Half-life:

5 days