V-Lab
Nagaoka International Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
7,034.00
1 Week
4,415.99
1 Month
3,633.36
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2613 | 4.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7448 | 235.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2613 | -2.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3629 | 40.23*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0068 | 7.59*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9709 | 141.55*** |
Persistence:
0.875
Half-life:
5 days
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