YA Horng Electronics Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
5,499.90
decreased by 903.52
1 Week
6,858.34
increased by 454.92
1 Month
5,983.10
decreased by 420.32
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 4, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4415 trading days (~17.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7024 | 6.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1734 | 3.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8264 | 14.41*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -5.0435 | -1.45 |
| γ2 | 9.3168 | 1.34 |
| γ3 | -5.8431 | -1.19 |
| γ4 | 1.4591 | 0.97 |
| γ5 | 0.0554 | 0.14 |
| γ6 | 0.0506 | 0.17 |
| γ7 | 0.1883 | 0.70 |
| γ8 | -0.5000 | -1.42 |
| γ9 | 0.7754 | 1.85* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4415 days
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