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YA Horng Electronics Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

5,197.54

decreased by 393.40

1 Week

5,645.64

increased by 54.70

1 Month

4,875.10

decreased by 715.84

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of YA Horng Electronics Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.25
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0060
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9284
812.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1312
10.87***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-