Wuxi Paike New Materials Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
140.43
increased by 7.91
1 Week
136.48
increased by 3.96
1 Month
131.46
decreased by 1.06
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2020 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2538 | 12.64*** |
| αARCH | 0.1521 | 5.87*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4936 | 9.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.7909 | -6.48*** |
| γ2 | 1.5782 | 8.95*** |
| γ3 | -1.7389 | -14.32*** |
| γ4 | 1.9924 | 12.28*** |
0.646
Persistence2d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2538 | 12.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1521 | 5.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4936 | 9.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.7909 | -6.48*** |
| γ2 | 1.5782 | 8.95*** |
| γ3 | -1.7389 | -14.32*** |
| γ4 | 1.9924 | 12.28*** |
Persistence:
0.646
Half-life:
2 days
Other Wuxi Paike New Materials Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities