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Wuxi Paike New Materials Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

140.43

increased by 7.91

1 Week

136.48

increased by 3.96

1 Month

131.46

decreased by 1.06

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Wuxi Paike New Materials Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 25, 2020 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2538
12.64***
αARCH0.1521
5.87***
βGARCH0.4936
9.21***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.7909
-6.48***
γ21.5782
8.95***
γ3-1.7389
-14.32***
γ41.9924
12.28***

0.646

Persistence

2d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2538
12.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1521
5.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4936
9.21***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.7909
-6.48***
γ21.5782
8.95***
γ3-1.7389
-14.32***
γ41.9924
12.28***

Persistence:

0.646

Half-life:

2 days