V-Lab
Wuxi Paike New Materials Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
86.17
1 Week
102.76
1 Month
105.80
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2020 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 65% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1035 | 9.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7761 | 69.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0675 | 5.01*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.0943 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6448 | 20.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3059 | 6.26*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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