V-Lab
Wuxi Paike New Materials Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
102.73
1 Week
118.13
1 Month
118.50
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1031 | 1.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7772 | 21.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0348 | 0.31 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.0626 | 4.01*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6428 | 3.09*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3066 | 1.53 |
Persistence:
0.898
Half-life:
6 days
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