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V-Lab

Nikki Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

4,439.18

decreased by 3.40

1 Week

4,480.31

increased by 37.73

1 Month

5,527.34

increased by 1,084.76

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nikki Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0321
3.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1128
9.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8626
65.01***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.0795
1.07
γ2-0.3139
-3.10***
γ30.5323
8.02***
γ4-0.5485
-8.20***
γ50.3963
4.91***
γ6-0.1698
-2.08**
γ7-0.0816
-0.90

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days