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Shanghai LongYun Media Group Co., Ltd. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

5,217.21

increased by 106.87

1 Week

5,365.16

increased by 254.82

1 Month

4,536.65

decreased by 573.69

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai LongYun Media Group Co., Ltd. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 46 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.2992
3.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3952
5.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5897
10.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-17.5979
-1.27
γ243.0465
1.31
γ3-45.5037
-1.50
γ433.8975
1.86*
γ5-22.0398
-1.72*
γ610.2296
1.55
γ7-2.8183
-1.12
γ81.6985
1.06
γ90.7689
0.67

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days