Elegant Home-Tech Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
8,394.58
increased by 7,360.59
1 Week
2,268.76
increased by 1,234.77
1 Month
943.77
decreased by 90.22
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9782 | 8.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2356 | 8.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6115 | 15.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.3786 | -8.12*** |
| γ2 | 0.5245 | 5.92*** |
Persistence:
0.847
Half-life:
4 days
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