Elegant Home-Tech Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
7,622.68
1 Week
2,113.90
1 Month
941.55
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2096 | 2.18** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7353 | 77.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2091 | -1.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9986 | 248.78*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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