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Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

348.66

increased by 67.20

1 Week

307.34

increased by 25.88

1 Month

322.91

increased by 41.45

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2462
5.91***
αARCH0.2684
17.01***
βGARCH0.7065
51.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0022
0.31

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2462
5.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2684
17.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7065
51.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0022
0.31

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days