V-Lab
Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
348.66
increased by 67.20
1 Week
307.34
increased by 25.88
1 Month
322.91
increased by 41.45
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2462 | 5.91*** |
| αARCH | 0.2684 | 17.01*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7065 | 51.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0022 | 0.31 |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2462 | 5.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2684 | 17.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7065 | 51.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0022 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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