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Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026

1 Day

259.85

increased by 76.47

1 Week

217.60

increased by 34.22

1 Month

276.28

increased by 92.90

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/13/2024

to

11/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2014 to Nov 13, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2494
6.03***
αARCH0.2665
17.05***
βGARCH0.7079
52.05***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0030
0.42

0.974

Persistence

27d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2494
6.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2665
17.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7079
52.05***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0030
0.42

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days