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Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

549.68

increased by 137.21

1 Week

369.38

decreased by 43.09

1 Month

300.54

decreased by 111.93

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2014 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2477
5.95***
αARCH0.2667
17.01***
βGARCH0.7081
51.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0027
0.37

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2477
5.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2667
17.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7081
51.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0027
0.37

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days