Sinoma Energy Conservation Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
378.71
1 Week
383.86
1 Month
335.50
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1879 | 2.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8050 | 135.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1879 | -2.04** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.0918 | 5.09*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9738 | 245.73*** |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
7 days
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