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V-Lab

Akasaka Diesels Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,592.83

increased by 74.28

1 Week

6,516.91

decreased by 1.64

1 Month

6,485.50

decreased by 33.05

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akasaka Diesels Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9634
5.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1320
11.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8491
63.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.1248
1.19
γ2-0.1178
-0.72
γ3-0.3922
-3.04***
γ40.6619
4.70***
γ5-0.0948
-0.74
γ6-0.4693
-4.04***
γ70.3587
2.99***
γ80.1797
1.43
γ9-0.8250
-5.79***
γ101.2637
4.85***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days