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V-Lab

Akasaka Diesels Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,604.44

increased by 116.36

1 Week

6,510.01

increased by 21.93

1 Month

6,515.55

increased by 27.47

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akasaka Diesels Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1236
6.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8871
361.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0397
-1.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.0308
26.95***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9988
1,406.82***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

75 days