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V-Lab

Hanshin Diesel Works Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3,509.11

increased by 264.77

1 Week

3,525.45

increased by 281.11

1 Month

3,945.95

increased by 701.61

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hanshin Diesel Works Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 45 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9873
5.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0917
11.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8929
92.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.3017
3.77***
γ2-0.7929
-6.48***
γ30.7989
9.49***
γ4-0.2717
-3.67***
γ5-0.2349
-3.31***
γ60.4487
5.62***
γ7-0.5310
-5.98***
γ80.5042
3.66***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days