V-Lab
Hanshin Diesel Works Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,428.61
1 Week
3,297.30
1 Month
3,821.90
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1112 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7787 | 42.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1112 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0771 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9229 | 21.20*** |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
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