V-Lab
TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
176.88
decreased by 31.42
1 Week
216.99
increased by 8.69
1 Month
212.09
increased by 3.79
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 291 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6897 | 2.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2188 | 26.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7789 | 89.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.3200 | -4.17*** |
| γ2 | 0.9711 | 7.94*** |
| γ3 | -1.3484 | -21.28*** |
| γ4 | 1.0896 | 15.65*** |
| γ5 | -0.5730 | -7.68*** |
| γ6 | 0.3095 | 3.98*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
291 days
Other TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities