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TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

217.15

decreased by 16.07

1 Week

206.58

decreased by 26.64

1 Month

205.67

decreased by 27.55

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TOP Energy Co Ltd-A ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 307 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7074
2.56**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2183
26.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7794
89.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.3055
-4.05***
γ20.9351
7.81***
γ3-1.3139
-21.45***
γ41.0755
15.70***
γ5-0.5749
-7.80***
γ60.3223
4.06***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

307 days