Skip to main content
V-Lab

TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

176.88

decreased by 31.42

1 Week

216.99

increased by 8.69

1 Month

212.09

increased by 3.79

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TOP Energy Co Ltd-A ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 291 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6897
2.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2188
26.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7789
89.52***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.3200
-4.17***
γ20.9711
7.94***
γ3-1.3484
-21.28***
γ41.0896
15.65***
γ5-0.5730
-7.68***
γ60.3095
3.98***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

291 days