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V-Lab

TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

242.34

decreased by 5.39

1 Week

230.09

decreased by 17.64

1 Month

225.53

decreased by 22.20

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of TOP Energy Co Ltd-A ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 110% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1184
8.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8166
147.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1300
11.45***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days