V-Lab
TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
124.47
1 Week
151.42
1 Month
189.16
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 06:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 1996 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 110% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.38 |
| αARCH | 0.1184 | 2.23** |
| βGARCH | 0.8165 | 36.96*** |
| γleverage | 0.1303 | 2.88*** |
1.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.38 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1184 | 2.23** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8165 | 36.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1303 | 2.88*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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