Skip to main content
V-Lab

TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

273.66

decreased by 23.45

1 Week

283.23

decreased by 13.88

1 Month

231.11

decreased by 66.00

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TOP Energy Co Ltd-A ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 110% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1184
8.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8165
147.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1301
11.33***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-