Skip to main content
V-Lab

TOP Energy Co Ltd-A Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

179.98

decreased by 27.37

1 Week

215.13

increased by 7.78

1 Month

233.40

increased by 26.05

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TOP Energy Co Ltd-A ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 110% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1184
8.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8165
147.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1303
11.36***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days