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V-Lab

Kyoritsu Air Tech Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

6,688.51

increased by 2,896.47

1 Week

4,700.80

increased by 908.76

1 Month

4,452.73

increased by 660.69

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyoritsu Air Tech Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 62 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0692
3.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1179
10.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8711
76.78***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.1045
0.69
γ20.0806
0.39
γ3-0.6874
-4.70***
γ41.1166
7.03***
γ5-1.2186
-8.97***
γ60.8543
5.44***
γ7-0.1678
-1.05
γ8-0.1525
-1.07
γ90.1184
0.72
γ10-0.0240
-0.12

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days