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Kanefusa Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,419.42

increased by 1,826.92

1 Week

2,942.23

increased by 349.73

1 Month

2,262.50

decreased by 330.00

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kanefusa Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~101 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8675
6.13***
αARCH0.0862
9.97***
βGARCH0.9070
107.86***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0044
1.69*

0.993

Persistence

101d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8675
6.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0862
9.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9070
107.86***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0044
1.69*

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days