Kanefusa Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
4,541.12
1 Week
5,244.63
1 Month
5,818.93
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1073 | 7.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8944 | 449.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0755 | -2.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8795 | 37.15*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9989 | 1,416.82*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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