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Tm Technology Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

8,764.00

increased by 2,534.40

1 Week

6,427.84

increased by 198.24

1 Month

4,095.10

decreased by 2,134.50

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tm Technology Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 6795 trading days (~27.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8968
2.27**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1842
3.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8157
16.03***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.0504
0.76
γ2-5.0543
-1.81*
γ310.5908
1.59
γ4-13.0211
-1.67*
γ511.4244
2.15**
γ6-7.2059
-2.75***
γ71.2406
1.20
γ82.1959
3.71***
γ9-1.1436
-1.41
γ10-1.3440
-0.90

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

6795 days