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Tm Technology Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

8,863.58

increased by 2,488.19

1 Week

6,700.54

increased by 325.15

1 Month

5,236.54

decreased by 1,138.85

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Tm Technology Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 229% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0485
15.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8960
262.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1109
22.45***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days