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V-Lab

Takasago Tekko Kk Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

8,453.07

increased by 3,522.68

1 Week

5,678.20

increased by 747.81

1 Month

5,778.15

increased by 847.76

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 12:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Takasago Tekko Kk ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5585
4.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1565
13.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8300
68.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.2876
2.94***
γ2-0.3946
-2.48**
γ3-0.1699
-1.48
γ40.8151
8.26***
γ5-0.9585
-9.62***
γ60.5028
5.81***
γ70.1301
1.58
γ8-0.4609
-5.10***
γ90.3855
2.56**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days