V-Lab
Takasago Tekko Kk ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
9,203.44
1 Week
5,993.68
1 Month
6,791.36
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 12:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1848 | 11.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7096 | 28.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1848 | -3.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.20** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0726 | 5.71*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9274 | 72.84*** |
Persistence:
0.802
Half-life:
3 days
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