V-Lab
NAM LIONG GLOBAL CORP Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
8,505.87
decreased by 1,014.84
1 Week
8,995.31
decreased by 525.40
1 Month
8,623.24
decreased by 897.47
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2094 trading days (~8.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4536 | 4.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2080 | 14.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7917 | 55.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -0.9830 | -0.76 |
| γ2 | 3.4643 | 1.28 |
| γ3 | -4.6834 | -1.84* |
| γ4 | 3.6383 | 2.43** |
| γ5 | -3.6323 | -3.13*** |
| γ6 | 4.8728 | 3.59*** |
| γ7 | -4.0513 | -4.00*** |
| γ8 | 1.5909 | 3.88*** |
| γ9 | -0.2276 | -0.78 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2094 days
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