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NAM LIONG GLOBAL CORP Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

6,138.47

decreased by 351.10

1 Week

6,625.93

increased by 136.36

1 Month

7,065.73

increased by 576.16

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of NAM LIONG GLOBAL CORP ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0619
12.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8803
301.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1155
9.23***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days