V-Lab
Danto Hldgs Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,974.74
increased by 726.17
1 Week
3,057.07
decreased by 2,191.50
1 Month
2,937.88
decreased by 2,310.69
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 80 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1129 | 5.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1493 | 17.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8421 | 90.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0262 | -2.01** |
| γ2 | 0.0594 | 3.15*** |
| γ3 | -0.0769 | -5.93*** |
| γ4 | 0.1256 | 4.36*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
80 days
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